This four-hour workshop introduces the theory and practice of demographic projections in an accessible and practical way. Participants will learn how to implement population projections with fixed or time-varying schedules of fertility, mortality, and migration, grounded in the probabilistic median scenario from the UN World Population Prospects (WPP).
The workshop covers both standard age-structured models (Leslie matrix) and multistate projection models, a method often perceived as technically demanding but made simple and fully operational in this workshop. Participants will gain hands-on experience in simulating population dynamics not only by age and sex but also across additional dimensions such as region, health status, marital status, labor force participation, and race/ethnicity.
A key feature of the workshop is the ability to generate projection scenarios and counterfactuals in seconds. Participants will be able to modify demographic rates—such as fertility decline, mortality improvement, or transition probabilities between social states—and immediately see how these assumptions shape future population outcomes. This makes the workshop particularly useful for researchers interested in exploring alternative scenarios, policy impacts, or demographic what-ifs.
The workshop will cover core functionalities of leslie, a Stata-based program specially designed for demographic projections.