ADC 2021 - Schedule of Events

Schedule of Events

(all times are Eastern Standard Time)

Tuesday, February 2, 2021

12:00 - 1:15 PM ET

Welcome & Opening Remarks | Sarah Burgoyne, ADC 2021 Program Chair

Update from the U.S. Census (To be confirmed)
Dr. Ron Jarmin, Deputy Director and Chief Operating Officer, U.S. Census Bureau

1:30 - 2:45 PM ET

ADC4 • 2020 Census Related Issues | Moderator: Collin McCarter, Trellance
a) Asian Subgroups as Separate Communities of Interest when Redistricting: Case Studies, Jeanne Gobalet, Shelley Lapkoff, and Robin Merrill, Lapkoff & Gobalet Demographic Research, Inc.
b) New Technical Challenges in Post‐2020 Redistricting, Peter A. Morrison, Morrison & Associates and Thomas M. Bryan, Bryan GeoDemographics
c) Innovative Census Connections During the COVID19 Pandemic: Reaching Rural Populations, Jennifer Edwards, Tarleton State University

ADC5 • 2020 Census and Young Children | Moderator: Florencia Guttierrez, The Annie E. Casey Foundation
a) Identifying Neighborhoods at Risk of Undercounting Young Children in the 2020 Census, Mark Mather, Matthew Martinez, Alicia Van Orman, and Linda A. Jacobsen  Population Reference Bureau
b) Analysis of 2020 Census Self‐Response Rates for Areas with a Very High Undercounting Young Children in the 2020 Census, William O'Hare and Deborah Griffin, O'Hare Data and Demographic Services, LLC
c) How to Count All Kids Used Data to Inform Its Outreach Efforts, Jasmine Jones, Partnership for America's Children
d) Selecting Geographic Areas for an Every-Door-Direct Mailer to Improve Coverage of Hard-to-Count Populations in the 2020 Census, Eric B. Jensen, Heather King, and Antonio Bruce, U.S. Census Bureau

ADC10 • Migration, Aging and Applied Methods | Moderator: Kelly Balistreri
a) Migration as the Driving Force of Rapid Aging in Puerto Rico, Alexis R. Santos‐Lozada, Pennsylvania State University
b) Social Networks among Vietnamese Residents during the Coronavirus Pandemic, Jacqueline Miller, University of New Mexico
c) Brain Drain, Aging, & The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Raeven Chandler, Pennsylvania State University
d) Forecasting an Aging Future in Washington: Imagining Possibilities in the Demography of Diversity, Crystal Yu, University of Washington

3:00 PM ET


Wednesday, February 3, 2021

12:00 - 1:15 PM ET

Update from the Government & Public Affairs Committee, Mary Jo Hoeksema, Population Association of America

Tutorial on Local Redistricting, Thomas M. Bryan & Peter A. Morrison

1:30 - 2:45 PM

ADC6 • Estimates | Moderator: Jan Kasper Vink
a) Predictors of Seasonal Variation in Residential Water Consumption in Central Texas, Lloyd Potter, University of Texas at San Antonio
b) Age Differentials in Maternal Morbidity in Nigeria, Olufemi Adetutu, Obafemi Awolowo University
c) Population Estimates after the 2020 Census, Robert Rhatigan, University of New Mexico Geospatial and Population Studies
d) Assessment of Migration after Natural Disasters, Ethan Sharygin, Portland State University

ADC 8 • Development, Population Policies and Fertility | Moderators: Mark Mather & Simona Bignami
a) Savings and the Demographic Dividend: Evidence from a Macrosimulation Model, Joshua Wilde, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
b) The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China’s Wan Xi Shao Campaign, Kim Babiarz, Stanford University
c) Women’s Inheritance Rights and Fertility Decisions: Evidence from India, Shreyasee Das, Temple University

ADC11 • Racial, Ethnic, Gender Inequality: Aging, Health Status, and Access to Care | Moderator: Maya Margarti
a) Racial, Ethnic, and Urban/Rural Differences in the Transition into Diabetes: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Survey Biomarker and Self‐Reported Data, Hyeran Chung, University of Illinois at Urbana‐Champaign
b) Gender Differences in Health, Social, and Economic Well‐being of Older Adults in India, Arunika Agarwal, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health
c) Access to Complementary Supports in Later Life: Who Does and How Well Among Older Adults in Oyo State, Nigeria?, Jacob Mobolaji, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile‐Ife, Nigeria
d) Racial/Ethnic and Economic Segregation and Survival in the United States, Ivan Mejia, Stanford University

3:00 - 4:15 PM ET

ADC1 • Internal and International Migration in the Time of and Following COVID-19 | Moderator: Raeven Chandler
a) Estimating the Effect of Mobility Pattern on COVID‐19 Pandemic in China: Evidence from Province Level Mobility Data, Xueqing Wang, Office of Population Research, Princeton University
b) Adjusting Canada’s Estimates of Returning Emigration in the Context of COVID‐19 Using New Administrative Data, Julien Bérard‐Chagnon, Statistics Canada
c) Internal Migration and Human Development during the COVID‐19 Pandemic, Chris Boyd, University of Minnesota

ADC3 • Differential Privacy | Moderator: David Van Riper, IPUMS
a) The impact of Differential Privacy on School Demography and Small Area Forecasts, Matthew Cropper, Cropper GIS Consulting
b) The Potential Impacts of Differential Privacy on New Net Migration Estimates, Richelle Winkler, Michigan Technological University
c) Impact of the Differential Privacy on Population Projections: A Case Study on Harris County, Texas, Alexis Santos‐Lozada, Pennsylvania State University
d) Discrete Additive Noise Mechanisms for Differential Privacy, Jonathan Buttle, California Department of Finance

ADC9 • Healthcare and Public Health | Moderator: Yoonjoung Choi
a) Free Trade, Food Prices, and Obesity in Mexico, Tara Templin, Stanford University
b) Racial/Ethnic and Socioeconomic Disparities in the Time of Identification of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD), Asiya Validova, University of Texas at San Antonio
d) Predictable Patterns of Emergency Overdose/Poisoning/Ingestion Events and Implications for Public Health, Mary Helander, Syracuse University
e) The Application of Agile Demography to Optimizing the Utilization of Science for Health Systems Strengthening in Africa, James Phillips, Columbia University

Thursday, February 4, 2021

12:00  - 1:15 PM ET

Committee on Applied Demography Business Meeting
Workshop: Comparing Data Sources 101, Collin McCarter, Trellance

1:30 - 2:45 PM ET

Networking: Table Discussions

3:00 - 4:15 PM ET

ADC2 • COVID-19: Methodological Innovations and Challenges | Moderator: Malia Jones
a) Applied Demography to Inform the Impact of the Pandemic on Latinos, Rogelio Sáenz, University of Texas at San Antonio
b) Tracking and Projecting Trends in Hispanic/Latino Pandemic Deaths: The Challenge of Missing Racial/Ethnic Data, Beth Jarosz, Population Reference Bureau
c) An Early Warning System for Impending Local Outbreaks: Learning to Live With COVID‐19, Peter Morrison, Morrison & Associates
d) Decomposing the Effects of Age‐Structure on per‐Capita COVID‐19 Death Rates, Mike Hollingshaus, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute, University of Utah
e) Scraping "Big Data" with Helena to Understand the COVID‐19 Pandemic’s Effect on Rental Housing Markets, Chris Hess, Cornell University
f) An Innovative Non‐Pharmaceutical Intervention to Mitigate SARS‐CoV02 Spread: Probability Sampling to Identify and Isolate Asymptomatic Cases, Nathalie Williams, University of Washington

ADC7 • Projections | Moderator: Jerome McKibben
a) Challenges on National Population Estimates and Projections after COVID-19 Pandemic, Victor M. Garcia-Guerrero, El Colegio De Mexico
b) Evaluation of the Best M4 Competition Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts, Tom Wilson, University of Melbourne
c) Modeling and the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Local Area Perspective, David Swanson, University of California, Riverside and CSDE, University of Washington
d) Exploring the Future of King County: Forecasts to 2045, Neal Marquez and Eileen Kazura, Jessica LaphamUniversity of Washington