By Dr. William P. O’Hare, President, O’Hare Data and Demographic Services LLC, Consultant to Count All Kids Committee
In the 2010 Census, young children (ages 0 to 4) had a net undercount of 4.6 percent while adults (age 18+) had a net overcount of 0.7 percent. The net undercount of young children was much higher than any other age group. Consequently, it is important to monitor the likely undercount in the 2020 Census by tracking self-response rates.
The Population Reference Bureau (2020) produced a database which identifies every census tract in 689 large counties (those with at least 5,000 children under age 5 in 2010) where young children have a very high risk of being missed in the 2020 Census. Tracking the 2020 Census response rates in those tracts will help us gauge what the final 2020 Census results will look like for young children.
We have now had two months when households could self-respond to the 2020 Census and it is worth noting that the self-response rates in census tracts where very high risks of young child undercounts are predicted trail overall response rates by a substantial margin.
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